海外研报

Global Economics Weekly Ready, set... slow

The global economy is showing signs of slowing, withmanufacturing weakening and the US labour market cooling.

CQ2 Public Cloud Update; Steady Growth in Q2, Capex Remains Top of Mind 

CQ2 showed sequential growth improvements for AWS and GCPwhile Azure was steady (when adjusting for the leap year). A

New CEO announced, production outlook held, higher FCF use expected for FY; Buy

Our view on the stock post 2Q24 earningsWhile 2Q24 was a choppy quarter, we think sustained progress onproduction rates (July similar to an improved June) and the

July FOMC meeting: Not quite there yet

Not quite there yetIn our view, the main message from the July FOMC meeting is that the Fed is getting closer to a rate cut, but needs more evidence that inflation is under control before it

Refunding recap: bill shift => coupon delay

UST coupon sizes stable, bills to rise in futureTreasury kept nominal coupon sizes stable & modestly increased TIPS sizes at the August refunding, as expected (see UST refunding preview). Three aspects of the

CP monitor: higher financials supply

Supply: notable pickup in foreign financials CP outstanding has increased $35bn since the end of June, bringing the total to $1.27tn.

US Rates Watch Fed funds: higher when FHLB discos rise

Fed funds will rise with FHLB discount note ratesClients have increasingly asked: when will the effective federal funds (FF) rate rise? Our answer

Fed to start with 50bp cuts in rapidly weakening labor market

CITI'S TAKEFor some time we have highlighted risks that a gradual weakening in thelabor market would at some point turn more rapid, This is much moreevident in July employment data, with the unemployment rate rising to4.3% alongside a more notable

Daily and weekly indicators for the US economy

Torsten Slok joined Apollo in August 2020 as Chief Economist and he leads Apollo's

What Are Surprising Macro And Micro Takeaways From Earnings Thus Far?

This week in the Pulse, we ask our senior analyst team to reflect on macro themesthat have surprised us during earnings. Additionally, we ask the team to discuss an