海外研报
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Emerging Insight The Great Divides in USD/CNY
Key takeaways• As the focus on USD vs. CNY valuation and trade intensifies, we take a broader look at key macro charts.
海外研报
2024年07月31日
FX Viewpoint USD: Cool data, hot politics
Key takeaways• Cooling US data and Fed-speak has brought forward cut pricing and weighed on the USD. We expect more depreciation in H2.
海外研报
2024年07月31日
FX Watch Where to fade the JPY rally
Cross-JPY pairs have been in secular uptrends since the start of the current rate cycle in 2021, and drawdowns to 100d SMA have been common. On average, major G10/JPY
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Macro Risk Digest Lingering risks
Top of mind: hedging fiscal worries Fiscal concerns have increased in the US and Europe: we outline the key macro
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Maintaining our S&P 500 target of 5400, rotation is where the action is
Neutral on index, bullish on internalsOur market timing signals have downshifted from bullish to neutral. In mid 2023, sentiment was deeply negative and our toolkit suggested that the direction of economic
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Risk-reward still more favorable for cyclicals
Economics: The economy continues to defy its skepticsLast week, 2Q GDP surprised to the upside, signaling that even if the economy has slowed, it is still meeting its potential. This week, the focus will likely be on the Fed and
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Strong FCF generation to drive c.13% SH returns in 2024E, with 10% DPS increase; Buy
BP reported broadly in-line 2Q24 results this morning (July 30), withRC operating profit at US$5,414 mn, 2% below company-compiled
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Summertime unwind?
Macro focus: Notwithstanding supportive fundamentals and burgeoning rate cuts across the EM complex, a more open US election is an ongoing source of EM
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Euro Area: German Headline Inflation Beats Expectations
BOTTOM LINE: German headline HICP inflation was 2.60%yoy in July, in line withour tracking forecast and above consensus expectations of 2.5%yoy, up from
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Euro Area: Q2 GDP Above Consensus But Germany Slows Down
BOTTOM LINE: According to Eurostat’s preliminary flash estimate, Euro area realGDP increased 0.3%qoq in Q2 2024, above consensus expectations for a 0.2%qoq
海外研报
2024年07月31日
