海外研报
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Americas Small Cap Research Summary
This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on
海外研报
2024年08月06日
US July jobs report: Broad-based weakening risks steeper cuts
• A sizable deceleration in payrolls and the fourth consecutive increase in the unemployment rate (which triggered the Sahm Rule) point
海外研报
2024年08月06日
PANIC STATIONS!
1. Global recession risk, with CBs (perceived to be) behind the curve2. The unwind of the Yen carry trade (did BoJ hawkishness mark the top of
海外研报
2024年08月06日
MARKETS CAN TAKE WEEKS TO REBOUND FROM A VOLATILITY SPIKE
Friday’s weak NFP print put recession risks front and centre. However, one disappointing payrolls release is notenough to declare one: (1) 114k new jobs are consistent with economic expansion; (2) cyclical sectors are still
海外研报
2024年08月06日
CARRY TRADE HARD LANDING?
Japan’s balance sheet is hugely distorted by the years of excess accommodation. It was always a toss-up as to which fragility was going to break first – maturity or currency mismatch. In the end,
海外研报
2024年08月06日
BOJ, FED, FUEL SURGE IN EM FX VOLATILITY
Fed and BoJ meetings have further raised EM FX volatility. Last week’s FOMC meeting was widely interpreted as confirming the market expectation that the funds rate will be cut in
海外研报
2024年08月06日
RECESSION APPEARS INEVITABLE BY YEAR- END, UNLESS THE FED CUTS (THEY WILL)
The search is on for indications that the economy is heading towards recession if the Fed fails to act sooner than later – not for indicators of recession itself. The softening data that are rolling
海外研报
2024年08月07日
Asia-Pacific Growth Monitor: EM Asia growth holding up, but factory surveys slow
This publication summarizes regional and country-specific growth data acrossthe Asia-Pacific economies we cover. In most cases, the latest data points are
海外研报
2024年08月07日
'IRAN-ISRAEL': AIRSTRIKES DON’T ALWAYS MEAN OIL SHOCKS
With Brent oil futures hovering near seven-month lows as recession fears vie with rising Iran-Israel-Hezbollah tensions, a top question for investors is: Are markets overly complacent about the
海外研报
2024年08月07日
Indonesia: Steady growth beat, pockets of vulnerability
• The Indonesian economy expanded 5.05% yoy in 2Q24, similar to quarter
海外研报
2024年08月07日
