海外研报

Refunding recap: bill shift => coupon delay

UST coupon sizes stable, bills to rise in futureTreasury kept nominal coupon sizes stable & modestly increased TIPS sizes at the August refunding, as expected (see UST refunding preview). Three aspects of the

CP monitor: higher financials supply

Supply: notable pickup in foreign financials CP outstanding has increased $35bn since the end of June, bringing the total to $1.27tn.

US Rates Watch Fed funds: higher when FHLB discos rise

Fed funds will rise with FHLB discount note ratesClients have increasingly asked: when will the effective federal funds (FF) rate rise? Our answer

Fed to start with 50bp cuts in rapidly weakening labor market

CITI'S TAKEFor some time we have highlighted risks that a gradual weakening in thelabor market would at some point turn more rapid, This is much moreevident in July employment data, with the unemployment rate rising to4.3% alongside a more notable

Daily and weekly indicators for the US economy

Torsten Slok joined Apollo in August 2020 as Chief Economist and he leads Apollo's

What Are Surprising Macro And Micro Takeaways From Earnings Thus Far?

This week in the Pulse, we ask our senior analyst team to reflect on macro themesthat have surprised us during earnings. Additionally, we ask the team to discuss an

Earnings Tracker: Mixed season, but stock misses heavily penalised

Almost 60% of the companies we expect to include in ourearnings tracker have reported. Overall, we expect to include

Global Credit Trader The growth scare comes for credit too

An earlier than expected growth scaren A series of weaker than expected data releases, including the July employment

Global Economics Wrap-Up: August 2, 2024

Former US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs are likely to accelerateshifts in the allocation of global trade:o We use product-level variation in tariff rates and trade patterns to estimate

Global FX Trader Running Late?

USD: Far enough; go short EUR/USD. Our economists think the Julyemployment report likely overstates the rate at which the labor market isloosening,