海外研报

View from the boundary: India in focus

India is an attractive investment destination, in our view, heading into the second half of 2024 and beyond. Although Prime Minister Narendra Modi will

Whatever it takes: the 12th anniversary

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of crisis, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of spreads, it was the

US growth pick-up but dimmer Europe outlook

US election: Harris steps in, but Trump still more likelyWhile the prediction market-implied odds of Democrats winning the White House

China: Industrial profits rose sequentially in June

China’s industrial profits and revenue rose by 3.9% yoy and 2.9% yoy, respectively,in June, from +0.5% yoy and +4.1% yoy in May. In sequential terms, industrial

US growth pick-up but dimmer Europe outlook

US election: Harris steps in, but Trump still more likelyWhile the prediction market-implied odds of Democrats winning the White House

Weekend Cross-asset Dislocations (28-Jul-2024)

The July short squeeze has been painful, but the short-squeeze should be short-lived

Weekly Warm-up: Does The Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome?

Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016-2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on the

US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate

Chinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports

New Candidate, Same Implications

To project the impact of elections on the markets, we typically frame scenarios. But we could never have dreamed up the truly wild month we just went