海外研报

Weekly spending update through July 27

Key takeaways• Total card spending per HH was up 0.1% y/y in the week ending Jul 27, according to BAC aggregated credit & debit card data.

Situation Room July FOMC: Yes man

The biggest takeaway from the July FOMC was that chair Powell largely agreed with market pricing for a September cut (Exhibit 1), assuming no big surprises on inflation.

China-Australia resources trade: transitioning

China’s structural transformation has begun. Its ‘new trio’ – electricvehicles (EV), lithium batteries and photovoltaic products – will likely

China data preview: a weak start to H2 2024

Slowing industrial production: The production subindexes of both official and Caixin manufacturing PMI slowed in July, signalling a

How effective is currency hedging usingforwards?

One of the many complexities in currency risk management arises from effectivelymanaging risk of a portfolio exposed to continuous currency exposure. This isimportant for both corporations and asset managers alike. For corporations, thisform

July 2024 Performance Review

July was a month of two halves, with the first half seeing the S&P 500 hit asuccession ofrecord highs, Bonds also rallied as speculation mounted that the Fedwould cut rates in September, particularly after the USCPl report came out. Butriskassets

Hong Kong: Retail sales rose in June

On a month-over-month basis (seasonally adjusted), Hong Kong retail salesincreased in June (+1.7% in value terms, +1.4% in volume terms). Sales value rose

Japan: government expects BoJ to create steep curve, not rate hikes

The government has clearly indicated that it intends to “shift corporations from excess savings to excess investment, and completely

Powell has a labor market bee inhis bonnet

While the Fed left rates on hold today,both the FOMC statementand Powell's pressconference strongly hinted that the first cut is likely coming at the next meeting inSeptember, The statement shifted the Fed's worries from tilted toward

Earnings Bars (AAPL, AMZN, DASH, INTC, MCHP, NET, SNAP), ARM, LRCX, META, QCOM

Sentiment: Still one of our more crowded shorts, but it’s seen substantial covering by equity L/S funds. In the wake of TXN (where embedded was weaker) and STM (MCU weaker) results – the latter of which feels more idiosyncratic