海外研报

US Treasury August QRA preview

We expect the Treasury to keep coupon auction sizes stable at the August quarterly refunding announcement (QRA) on 31 July. The refunding coupon sizes

US Pulse: Fed may open the door to a rate cut

At the July FOMC meeting we anticipate the committee will acknowledge the recent improvement in inflation and open the door to rate cuts if recent trends

EA GDP: PERIPHERY > CORE; SURVEYS: JOBS AND PRICES COOL

Flash Euro Area (EA) GDP for Q2 confirms the three main trends of the past year: 1) ‘periphery’ outperforms‘core’, with Spain's large upside surprise (0.8% QoQ vs 0.5% expected) and Germany slipping back into contraction

TIME TO TURN ATTENTION TO MANAGING THE FED BALANCE SHEET

The headline coming out of this week’s FOMC meeting will be the signal that funds ratecutting begins in September, with the usual caveats. Probably not reported but still very

Mizuho China Weekly Outlook

China’s high-frequency indicators for July were mixed. On one hand, steel-related activity has eased further, with rebar prices hitting a new low since 2017 (Fig 8) and crude steel production declining at a

Americas Transportation: Railroads: Weekly Rail Carload Snapshot — Week 30

Total traffic results for US Class I rails under coverage imply carload growthat +6.2% YoY in week 30, an acceleration versus -0.7% YoY in week 29.