海外研报

Atradius 经济展望 软着陆

预计 2024 年全球增长率为 2.6% , 与 12 月经济展望相比上调 0.5% 。由于更强劲的需求前景和更高的移民 , 美国经济的韧性突出。 2025 年增长可能会略有改善 , 达到 2.8% , 随着通胀持续下降 , 购买力也会有所改善。

US Labor Market: Cracks Beneath The Surface

The US unemployment rate has clocked in below 4.5% for 33 consecutive months. However, this historicallylow rate camouflages nascent cracks in the US labor market.

Investment Banking Monitor: Some improvement in M&A and DCM, but weaker ECM

Announced August investment banking activity levelsrose 9% YoY and were only 2% below average August

nterest Rate Cuts; Analysis Shows Transports Fare Well

Bottom Line: As the probability that a rate cut comes more into view at theSeptember Fed meeting, we wanted to refresh our analysis on share price

BofA Securities Equity Client Flow Trends Near-record week of equity outflows

Biggest net sales since Nov. 2020• Biggest net sales since Nov. 2020: In the final week of August (ahead of a

Barclays_US Credit Derivs_Tail-Risk Option Hedge Screener

Following the recent sell-off, most products in the screener nowtrade cheap versus their six-month averages, with SPY and IWM

Global Macro Thoughts “Normal service will now resume”

Where noted in the source notes, the views expressed within this report are taken from previously published research. For further detail, including important

The Harris Bounce--US special 01

With Kamala Harris on top of the Democratic ticket, the odds for the Democrats have dramatically improved. After weeks of media hype and her nomination at the Democratic

Overseas market to drive sales and margins

A . BYD, the global leader in the NEV industry,should continue to deliver decent volume sales growth of 20-25% y-o-y in FY24. The huge scaleallows BYD to remain a price setter, especially after it rolled out products at ASP of