海外研报

Time to Enter UST Steepeners

After having adopted a neutral stance on the US yield curve for much of the past year, we believe now is the time to enter US

Taking stock, looking ahead

We expect a muted recovery in European and US steel prices into YE, underpinned by a seasonal pick-up in activity and, in

What's Priced In? Boom or Bust?

We analyze where cross-asset valuations are after the sell-off and rebound. While a shallow cutting cycle supports risk, we

Venture Vision: Back to Neverland?

On the cusp of US rate cuts, according to our Economists, anticipation is high that venture/growth markets will step in to

“Vast majority” of FOMC looking for September cut

A number of data releases will be on the docket, highlighted by PCE inflation for July. Also on tap are personal income & spending, Q224 GDP

THE PERKINS RULE REVISITED

I’ve had a lot of questions about the Perkins rule, the idea that it is a CONTRACTION INEMPLOYMENT that signals recession, not a gradual drift higher in the jobless rate (the

Cycle Playbook – Preparing for a Peak

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of