海外研报
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Is the VlX spike a signal of wider credit spreadsahead?
A key debate last week was whether equities were sending a signal for creditThe massive spikes in cross-asset volatility in early August (e.g., 2, 4, 5 sigma moves in1Oyr USTs, IPYUSD, and VlX) have left investors actively
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Global Rates StrategySep/Dec Futures roll
Repo risk is meaningful for DecGiven the uncertain path of the Fed over the next few months, valuation of the Deccontracts will be sensitive to
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Global Rates StrategyWeekly supply Preview
Global supply next week: Euro area, Us, UK, JP, AUS & NZNominal supply is scheduled in the Euro area (expect ~EUR4.5bn), US (USD16bn), UK(GBP3.75bn), Japan (JPY1.65tn),Australia (AUD1.5bn) and New Zealand
海外研报
2024年08月20日
FAST FX Fair Value Model--USD looking undervalued
The FAST FX model continues to sit out the FX markets and remains up 2.50% over the past year with a hit rate of 50%. Heading into the Jackson
海外研报
2024年08月20日
USD: in the shadow of the Rockies
It was a tentative start to the week for risk sentiment. The rhetoric from the Fed remains mixed. While dovish FOMC voter Mary Daly expressed more confidence
海外研报
2024年08月20日
FIRST ECB MIDSUMMER DATA CHECK: CUT
Sticking to “data dependence” ahead of the September decision, at the last press conferenceChristine Lagarde said the ECB will focus especially on “WPP” – Wages, Productivity and Profits
海外研报
2024年08月21日
Macro Insights Weekly Putting the inflation genie back in the 2% bottle
The market is watching closely for signs for US economic slowdown, pricing in about 100bps in
海外研报
2024年08月21日
