海外研报

PM_US18Sep24

duce the funds rate by 25bp today, followed by 50bp easings at the November and December meetings, as

Rabo 2,750 beeps

The market is waiting for the Fed to cut rates today for the first time in years: the economistBloomberg survey expects 25bps; markets are split between pricing 25bps and 50bps, with the

SocGen - China Economic Update - Slipping into a downward spiral

Domestic activity data deteriorated more than market expectations in August again. With the data in hand, 3Q GDP growth is tracking at

SocGen - FX View - Is the Fed a hare or a tortoise

 Will Bill Dudley be on Jay Powell’s Christmas card list this year? Mr Dudley’s piece for Bloomberg, arguing for a 50bp rate cut tomorrow, has helped tilt the market a little further in

SocGen -FX Pulse - Weekly FX summary – 16 September 2024

Fed f/c to cut 25bp and update dot-plot on Wednesday. US retail sales and UK CPI on Tuesday. BoE forecast to stand pat on Thursday, BoJ to hold fire on Friday. Brazil CB could mull 25bp hike, PBoC to stay sidelined Wednesday. Turkey

SocGen_Asia Equity Strategy 4Q24 Outlook – Don t chase returns in the late cycle_20240917

Societe Generale (“SG”) does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that SG may

GS--September FOMC Preview: Shifting the Focus to Labor Market Risks (Mericle)

We interpret comments from Fed officials just ahead of the blackout period to nmean that the FOMC is more likely to cut by 25bp than 50bp at its September

USA_ August Housing Starts Rebound Above Expectations

BOTTOM LINE: Housing starts rose by 9.6% in August, above expectations for asmaller increase. The rebound was led by the South, where Hurricane Beryl likely

USA_ Core Retail Sales in Line With Expectations in August

BOTTOM LINE: Core retail sales rose 0.3% in August, in line with consensusexpectations, and headline retail sales rose 0.1%, against expectations for a decline.

Weekly - Regional View Emerging Markets_en_1623966

Panama's strategic role as a transportation and financial hub, coupled withrobust growth in sectors such as construction, commerce, and transport,