海外研报

Catalysis analysis

Catalysts abound in the week ahead, between key economicdata, Fed/BoE/BoJ decisions, and the all-important (Tech)

BoE Votes 5-4 to Cut Policy Rate; Non-Committal Tone on Path Ahead

BOTTOM LINE: The MPC voted by a majority of 5-4 to lower Bank Rate by 25bp to5.00%, with Bailey, Breeden, and Lombardelli joining Ramsden and Dhingra in voting

Weekly spending update through July 27

Key takeaways• Total card spending per HH was up 0.1% y/y in the week ending Jul 27, according to BAC aggregated credit & debit card data.

Situation Room July FOMC: Yes man

The biggest takeaway from the July FOMC was that chair Powell largely agreed with market pricing for a September cut (Exhibit 1), assuming no big surprises on inflation.

China-Australia resources trade: transitioning

China’s structural transformation has begun. Its ‘new trio’ – electricvehicles (EV), lithium batteries and photovoltaic products – will likely

China data preview: a weak start to H2 2024

Slowing industrial production: The production subindexes of both official and Caixin manufacturing PMI slowed in July, signalling a

How effective is currency hedging usingforwards?

One of the many complexities in currency risk management arises from effectivelymanaging risk of a portfolio exposed to continuous currency exposure. This isimportant for both corporations and asset managers alike. For corporations, thisform

July 2024 Performance Review

July was a month of two halves, with the first half seeing the S&P 500 hit asuccession ofrecord highs, Bonds also rallied as speculation mounted that the Fedwould cut rates in September, particularly after the USCPl report came out. Butriskassets

Hong Kong: Retail sales rose in June

On a month-over-month basis (seasonally adjusted), Hong Kong retail salesincreased in June (+1.7% in value terms, +1.4% in volume terms). Sales value rose

Japan: government expects BoJ to create steep curve, not rate hikes

The government has clearly indicated that it intends to “shift corporations from excess savings to excess investment, and completely