海外研报

FX Daily Snapshot Europe Weekly Focus

The flash PMIs for August did little to ease concerns about a slowing euro area economy. A temporary boost to French services from the Olympics

All to play for in final leg of US presidential election

FX View: This week the US dollar (DXY) has fallen a further 1.0% as markets position with increased confidence for the start of the Fed easing cycle in

Confirmation Bias In Action

Sometimes financial markets seem almost willfully perverse. During Wednesday’s trading, the price of the front-month WTI crude oil future fell

Permanent Portfolios, Policies And Asset Returns

“You were given the choice between war and dishonor. You chose dishonor, and you will have war.”

Global Credit Trader There and back again

While spreads have nearly completed their round-trip back to pre-selloff levels,implied volatility on macro indices remains elevated.

Global Economics Wrap-Up: August 23, 2024

August flash PMIs show strength in services but continued weakness inmanufacturing:

Global Rates Trader Pivot in Place

A heightened focus on growth risks continues to dominate price action in G10 rates.Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole extended the Fed’s transition from focusing

GS TWIG Notes: This Week in Global Research - August 23, 2024

Jan Hatzius lowers the probability that the US will enter a recession in the next12 months to 20% from 25% in last weekend’s note, “Renewed Progress on

Limited impact from roadmap delays, but less pricing power upside in FY26

Roadmap changes and production delays to next-gen GB200 chips unlikely to significantly affect 2H24 or FY26 outlook

The Flying DutchmanIndia: What can go wrong?

What can go wrong? The FTSE India has rallied for 13 out of the past 15 years. More than USD100bn has gone into the market in the last four years just from