海外研报
筛选
Sharp Pullback But Not There Yet
Equitypositioningisdown butnotlow, Even afterthe sharp drop this weekoverall equitypositioning is still well above average. it is also slightlyabovelevels implied byQ2 earnings growth which looks to be tracking just above10%so farthisseason, leavingroom
海外研报
2024年07月30日
US rates forecast update
The resulting baseline forecast has the 10y UST yield at 4.25% at year-end, withyields across the curve modestly above forwards.The forecastgenerally sees front.end spreads (2s5s) a bit flatter than forwards, reflecting a more gradual pace of
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Yen facing cross-currents
The monetary policy convergence story is real - DB changed its Fed call to 3 cuts(previously 1) this year after the CPl print. While the Fed repricing over the comingyearortwo hasn't been huge (eg, 1y1yis still comfortably above thelows
海外研报
2024年07月30日
GBP: mind the black hole
The GBP rally – which has come to define the G10 FX market so far this year –has lost momentum of late amidst returning risk aversion. The GBP has been
海外研报
2024年07月30日
SALES COMMENTARY ONLY (NOT A PRODUCT OF RESEARCH)
While earnings are off to a strong start – 78% beating an already high “hurdle” and 2Q24 EPS estimates revised higher to +10.2% – mega cap tech results
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Global equities lost 0.9%; Japan underperformed
Macro data this weekUS: The JOLTS job openings report on Tuesday, the ISMmanufacturing index on Thursday, and the employment
海外研报
2024年07月30日
GOAL Kickstart Summer data-only update
This research is for our clients only. Other than disclosures relating to Goldman Sachs, this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or
海外研报
2024年07月30日
China’s Third Plenum provides little support to metals
Last week’s key Communist Party meeting failed to lay out morepolicies to prop up demand for metals and we expect copper and
海外研报
2024年07月30日
FX OutlookYen-maggedon
De-risking of crowded positions is different from amacro shock. There is not much evidence of the latterin recent strong dataflow, and recession models contin-ue to hover in benign territory.
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Europe Non Research Other
From a curo perspeclive not much to say really, in all the vol elsewhere ifs hardly moved so dontto dedicate too much timeto it Al l wil say is that the EcB is silikely lo be chipping away on
海外研报
2024年07月30日
