海外研报

Powell Deftly Opens the Door for Rate Cuts, but Doesn't Appear Ready to Step Through It

Fed Chair Powell made a subtle shift in his stance on monetary policy today, speaking before the Economic Club ofWashington DC. He made it abundantly clear that he did not want to send a signal about any particular meeting coming

Wealth and wellbeing

For those of us spending our days watching markets and the economy, thelast few weeks have been packed with current events: From elections in the

Attempted assassination of presidential candidate Donald Trump

On Saturday evening, former President Donald Trump was wounded in anassassination attempt during a campaign rally. A bystander was killed, andtwo others were critically wounded. The assailant was shot dead by securityservices.

Global Macro Commentary

Fed Chair Powell says recent inflation data add confidence; USTs bear-steepen; BoC surveys show inflation expectations

Elevating To Top Pick As Apple Intelligence Catalyzes Record Upgrade Cycle

Apple Intelligence is set to drive record device upgrades; our new forecast calls for 235m iPhone shipments in FY25 and 262m in FY26, 2-12% above Street.

US Economics  |  US Economic Data

Headline retail sales were unchanged in June, but the control group rose +0.9%. This is the biggest m/m increase inthe control group since April 2023. Both numbers were stronger than the respective consensus forecasts of -0.3% and+0.2%.

NVDA Thermal Issues?

I got a lot of incoming questions yesterday on a sell-side competitor’s reports of thermal issues impacting NVDA GB200 Bianca board (1 CPU + 2 GPU) mass production. Albert Hung sees no impact so far in the Asia foodchain

Benefit of Lower Rates Offset Holiday Slowdown over the 4th of July

How it Works: In developing the scale, we went back over 50 years of data todetermine averages, outliers, and differing operating environments. As such, a

Click “here” to listen to the Europe Morning Call.

Transport Chartbook – thoughts on shipping S/D – Global trade growth remainedstrong in 2Q with air freight up +10% yoy and container +6%. This is driven by a

Land of the rising equities and bond yields — a look at cross-asset moves in Japan

Last week a softer-than-expected CPI print pushed forwardrate cut expectations and prompted one of the largest