海外研报
筛选
New Candidate, Same Implications
To project the impact of elections on the markets, we typically frame scenarios. But we could never have dreamed up the truly wild month we just went
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Navigating a Noisy Election
Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Still See a Soft Landing
We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Still See a Soft Landing
We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought more evidence
海外研报
2024年07月29日
2024 US Elections – An Early Guide
With Election Day 334 days away, it's likely much will change re: the drivers of the outcome & their market impact.
海外研报
2024年07月29日
July FOMC: one last hold?
The Fed is poised to stand on the sidelines for one more meeting at the July FOMC, as we expect the target range for the Federal funds rate to remain unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. This would mark a full year, or eight
海外研报
2024年07月29日
US Weekly Prospects
Fed on track for September easeAgainst this backdrop, the FOMC meets next week, Despite afew high-profile calls for the Fed to start cutting next week,that does not appear to be in the cards. Rather, we look foreasing
海外研报
2024年07月29日
FOMC preview
The June FOMC meeting statement described activity as expanding at a “solidpace," job gains “'strong," and unemployment “low." We don't see any of thatchanging. Since the June meeting the unemployment rate has risen another tick to4.1%, in line
海外研报
2024年07月29日
refer to the views and observations of the desk.
Positioning + Flows .. not much reprieve last week during what has been one of the more dynamic momentum / positioning drawdowns we’ve
海外研报
2024年07月29日
