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US Equities: Selling Triggers

Selling triggers: We highlighted the risk that a downtrend could accelerate selling flows in our earnings hedging piece. That is exactly
海外研报

Emerging Insight Central Asia – FX “anomalies” untangled

Key takeaways• KZT to remain range-bound and managed through net NOF FX sales. NOF support has room to increase in 2H24 after new FX flow
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Global Earnings Revision Ratio Hint of softness

Global Earnings Revision Ratio moderated in JulyIn a hint of softness in earnings expectations, the Global Earnings Revision Ratio
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Morning Market Tidbits The Fed can afford to be patient

Why not cut in July?In a recent article, former New York Fed President Bill Dudley called for the Fed to begin its rate cutting cycle at next week’s FOMC meeting. Given his vast experience in
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Small/Mid Cap Strategy 5 FAQs we’re fielding on small caps

1) Are small caps still cheap after the rally?On an absolute basis, no – as of yesterday’s close, the Russell 2000 at 15.5x trades slightly above its historical average P/E of 15.2x. But small caps remain cheap vs. large
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Re-examining implications for commodities under a Red Wave

Global commodities: We build on our recent examination of the implications for commodities stemming from the US elections (see here) to reassess w hat GOP
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Much ado about nothing

A Trump presidency brings into focus his extreme policy positions. The impact of such policies on the energy market would not be straightforward.
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FOMC: dovish hold to precede September rate cut

We expect no change in the federal funds rate (FFR) at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, in what we expect will be a
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Ford Motor Co. (F): 2Q24 First Take

While Ford maintained its full-year EBIT guidance and raised its FCFguidance, 2Q EBIT was below the Street driven by the Blue segment (with
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Assessing the Channels of Impact of Tariffs on Asian FX (Suwanapruti)

With investor focus on the US elections, we extend our EM Strategy team’swork on “Assessing the Relative Impact from US Tariff Risks” to take a deeper
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