海外研报

Beyond the Ballot: Existing in the Context…

President Biden’s decision not to seek reelection and the coalescing around Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee have upended the US election campaign.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST has recently revisited March low of 4.40% which remains an interim support. A brief rebound is taking shape, but it would be

RATES & FOREX RESEARCH FOR CORPORATES

US 2Q GDP on Thursday, June PCE inflation on Friday. Euro and UK preliminary PMIs on Wednesday, Canada second rate cut in the balance. Hungary CB SG f/c no change, consensus -25bp. Turkey CBRT f/c on hold.

On Our Minds A pragmatic budget, but could have been bolder

The new government’s first full budget was pragmatic, but it could have been bolder. When one looks at it as a pure accounting exercise, which it actually is, the budget neither

key debates likely to be on trajectory of auto business and FSD/robotaxis

Tesla reported revenue/non-GAAP diluted EPS (excluding SBC) of$25.5 bn/$0.52, which was 4% above/$0.09 below the Street

New Home Sales Below Expectations; Upgrade Q2 GDP Tracking Estimate to 2.6%

The goods trade deficit narrowed in June, led by an increase in exports. Wholesaleinventories increased somewhat less than expected. The S&P Global manufacturing

Options Opportunities in the Momentum and Growth Sell-off

Along with modest weakness in the US equity market over the past week, theMomentum factor saw a reversal in trend (-1.8% vs. +15.0% YTD) and Growth

Market Comments

Part of the market is focused on earnings and misses. Part is focused on US data, where the Philly Fed for services screamed ‘stagflation!’ with its weak headline and high prices paid component,