海外研报

Europe Trembles At the Trump Tremor

The rising odds of a Trump victoryin November are weighing on theperformance of European equities.Investors fear a resumption of thetrade wars that dominated the frstTrump presidency.

SOFR methodology tweak: minimal impact

SOFR changes: no affiliate trades, limit specials impactLast week the NY Fed proposed two very technical changes to the SOFR calculation

Market Analysis Comment Bullish broadening and rotation

2024 summer rally hits a wall at SPX 5600sThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied into the 5600s, achieving the target for the 2022-2023 bullish

2Q24 First Take: Beat supported by overlifts and gas marketing

Equinor reported 2Q24 results this morning (July 24), with group operating incomeat US$7,483 mn, +8% above company-complied consensus of US$6,959mn, and

Euro Area—Measuring Underlying Inflation (Vashkinskaya/Stott)

Underlying inflation in the Euro area remains in focus as one of the three criteriaused by the ECB’s Governing Council to set monetary policy. To analyse the

India budget: closer to the medium-term fiscal target

The Indian government chose a middle path by distributing its non-tax revenue bonanza into revenue spending and fiscal deficit reduction. The

Is the front end fairly priced?

Following the downside surprise in June CPI, along with benign readings for the relevant PPI components, the Fed’s preferred PCE inflation metric is likely to be

apan: rise in Nikkei due more to power of reflation than economic quality improvement

The ESG Macro Index, which represents the quality of the Japanese economy, improved to 0.81 in Q124 from 0.66 in Q423. The deteriorating

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities were mixed amid a somewhat choppy session (SXXP 0.1%,SX5E 0.4%, Adv 43% of SXXP). DAX (0.8%) and UKX (-0.4%) were the top and worst regions. Tech(1.4%) and Positive Al Sentiment (1.6%%) took

Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis

The opinions and research contained in this document (in the form of text, image, video or audio) are (a) not personal financ ial advice nor financial advice about any product or service; (b) provided for information only;