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The Pulse of the Market Thoughts on Sentiment, Earnings, Rotation, and the US Election
In a NutshellThe big things you need to know: First, investor sentiment has gotten as extreme as it did last August and this past March.
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2024年07月23日
FOMC – Six questions
Two 2024 cuts versus three? Our baseline remains two Fed cuts in H2, one in September and one in Q4. The market is divided on pricing and so are we to some
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2024年07月23日
The Macro Blog - Yen -A better Bank of Japan timing?
Last week's intraday price action in the USD/JPY suggests that the Bank of Japan may have intervened in the FX market onceagain to counteract yen weakness. While it is too early to determine the ultimate impact, the current market conditions
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2024年07月23日
Can Trump depreciate the USD?
Careful what you wish for, ‘cause you might get it in heapsThe most often asked question we encountered last week was whether a weak USD
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2024年07月23日
Authorities Reach Agreement on External Debt Restructuring with Bondholders
Bottom line: Ukraine reached agreement with an ad hoc creditor committeerepresenting holdings of around 25% of Ukrainian bondholders on restructuring
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2024年07月23日
Endorses Vice President Harris; Democrats’ Odds of Winning the White House Edge Up Slightly
BOTTOM LINE: President Joe Biden exited the 2024 presidential race today (July21) and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris. Harris’ prediction market-implied
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2024年07月23日
USD: feeling green
The USD outlook has taken a turn for the worse of late on the back of: (1) growing market expectation that the Fed easing cycle could start as
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2024年07月23日
