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Despite the Heat, the Animal Spirits are Cooling Off
Stormy Spirits Ahead?Our Animal Spirits Index (ASI) fell in June to 0.53 from 0.88 in May but has remained positive in all six months of 2024 (chart). Previous reports detail the index's methodology, but on a basic level, an
海外研报
2024年07月22日
The Impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty on Capex Beneficiaries
The US presidential election is re-shaping the Europeanequity market. While markets have just started to fadeEuropean political risk, the US presidential election on
海外研报
2024年07月22日
Sizing the Very Uncertain Increase in Trade Policy Uncertainty (Briggs/Pierdomenico)
US Presidential candidate Donald Trump has signaled that he will likelyimplement significant tariffs if elected, raising risks that a sharp increase in trade
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2024年07月22日
Global Rates Trader Policy Path Dependent
While US election risk is an inescapable focus in rates market discussions, the lastmonth has revealed the difficulty building clear momentum in trading the eventualoutcome.
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2024年07月22日
Healthcare Pulse: Shifts Now Afoot... Investor sentiment
The title of our last weekly, “Strap-In” was a grossunderstatement for the epic momentum reversal thatensued this week
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2024年07月22日
Weekly Equity Market Commentary & Conviction Calls
With 2Q earnings season in full swing, the recent rally seen in USequities cooled slightly this week. As evidenced by the
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2024年07月22日
Shifting narrative and market implications
We hosted the fifh installment ofthe Strategic Research 2024 US Election Watchseries on July 17, featuring IP, Morgan researchers who discussed the keytakeaways, firom meetings duringour recent trip to Washington, D,C, The meetingsin
海外研报
2024年07月22日
The retail impulse into US equities has been globa!
We mentioned several times in our publication the big role US retail investorshave been playing over the past year in propagating the US equity market. Thebullishness ofUS retail investors has been manifesting across several metrics.In een
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2024年07月22日
US Weekly Prospects
The soft landing story has been gaining inereasing credibilityin recent weeks. lfanything, some of the growth data hadbcen suggesting activity was slowing more than would bedesirable.
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2024年07月22日
Know When to Fold ‘Em?
Former President Trump is no longer the “presumptive” nominee and is now the official nominee. J.D. Vance is his official running mate. While the Republican ticket has been finalized
海外研报
2024年07月22日