海外研报

Elevating To Top Pick As Apple Intelligence Catalyzes Record Upgrade Cycle

Apple Intelligence is set to drive record device upgrades; our new forecast calls for 235m iPhone shipments in FY25 and 262m in FY26, 2-12% above Street.

US Economics  |  US Economic Data

Headline retail sales were unchanged in June, but the control group rose +0.9%. This is the biggest m/m increase inthe control group since April 2023. Both numbers were stronger than the respective consensus forecasts of -0.3% and+0.2%.

NVDA Thermal Issues?

I got a lot of incoming questions yesterday on a sell-side competitor’s reports of thermal issues impacting NVDA GB200 Bianca board (1 CPU + 2 GPU) mass production. Albert Hung sees no impact so far in the Asia foodchain

Benefit of Lower Rates Offset Holiday Slowdown over the 4th of July

How it Works: In developing the scale, we went back over 50 years of data todetermine averages, outliers, and differing operating environments. As such, a

Click “here” to listen to the Europe Morning Call.

Transport Chartbook – thoughts on shipping S/D – Global trade growth remainedstrong in 2Q with air freight up +10% yoy and container +6%. This is driven by a

Land of the rising equities and bond yields — a look at cross-asset moves in Japan

Last week a softer-than-expected CPI print pushed forwardrate cut expectations and prompted one of the largest

FSA Fixed Income Daily Commentary

US Treasury: US Treasuries rallied last Friday, despite higherthan-expected US wholesale inflation. The yield on the policydriven 2yr notes fell 6.3bps to 4.452%, its lowest level since

The economic consequences of a second Trump presidency for emerging markets

Macro focus: With market-implied probabilities of a second Trump term rising, we take a first look at the potential reverberations for EMs. We view tariff policy as

DB CoTD: The greatest rotation...

Yesterday was a fascinating day for US equities. 396 of the S&P 500 were up on the day, the equal weighted index rose +1.17%, and the Russell 2000 small cap index

The return of the rest?

In Friday’s CoTD (link here) we showed that before the 2000 bubble burst, the three “dullest” S&P 500 sectors (Consumer Staples, Healthcare and Utilities) had