海外研报

Weekly Warm-up: What Does Falling Inflation Mean for Stocks?

What Does Falling Inflation Mean for Stocks? As we have discussed over the last several weeks, the market's focus internally has shifted from

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index was flat today. Malaysia and Australia markets outperformed,while Hong Kong and China markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors,

Global Economics Weekly

Slowing US inflation now makes Fed cuts in both Septemberand December likely. Inflation dynamics are less clear in the UK

Summer Stalemates

A Surprise in France: We assessed market impacts after the French legislative electionsdelivered a hung Parliament, with the left coalition unexpectedly coming first, followed by the

Taking shelter from inflation

Weekly Viewpoint: Taking shelter from inflationA downside surprise to June CPI inflation, driven by softer shelter, should increase the Fed’s confidence that inflation is converging to target. That said, rate cuts are not just

Narrow breadth could persist

Narrow market breadth continuing to impact portfoliosGlobally, a few large stocks are driving equity market returns, which makes it difficult for

Path to goldilocks: Own cyclicals

Economics: Inflation box ticked, focus shifts to growthLast week, inflation ticked another box for the Fed. Headline inflation missed by 4.2

Emerging Market Focus

The economic growth slowdown in Q2 turned out to be more significant than expected, with a notable deceleration in retail sales and continued

China: weaker consumption looms over GDP recovery

The weak Q2 GDP (4.7% y/y) suggests the official target of 5% for 2024 is not a done deal. As H2 2023 constituted 53% of the annual GDP in 2023,

DeskTalk - Macro whispers of Trump 2.0 trades

US Treasuries are opening lower after a holiday in Tokyo. 2s10s curve is bull steepening though the move is likelyto be contained ahead of Fed Chair Powell's interview today. That said, our rates strategists think momentum, weak