海外研报

Quarterly Market Review

The economic momentum of the first quarter of 2024 continued into the second, and the last three months were another positive period for equity markets. Initially, investors aggressively

More data please, July edition

Monetary Policy | Still waiting for more data: The ECB will keep rates on hold in July. From its perspective, more data is needed to confirm the assumed (and

Breaking the Rules

It’s a general rule that you should avoid saying “This time is different.” So far, though, I have broken that rule in this cycle, because so much of what we are seeing

We Forecast Core PCE at 0.16% After PPI

We now forecast core PCE inflation for June at 0.16% vs. 0.08%M in May. Headline is forecasted at 0.07% vs. -0.01%M the month prior. We expect the Y/Y

Outlook for public and private markets

Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated. Apollo GlobalManagement, Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, “Apollo”) makes no representation or warranty, expressed or

Global Asset Allocation Views

The data reaffirm our base case view of moderating growth and cooling inflation.• This environment supports a risk-on tilt in portfolios, with overweights to equity and credit.

Global Fixed Income Views

A 70% probability of Sub Trend Growth, and a soft landing, remain our base case. While smaller businesses and lower income households struggle with

Mizuho China Weekly Outlook

China’s Q2 GDP growth disappointed, rising 4.7% YoY, compared to market expectations of 5.0% and Q1’s 5.3%. This slowdown was primarily driven by final consumption, which contributed 3.0ppt to headline

Trump shooting, China Q2 GDP to sway market mood

Market HighlightsThe US dollar fell 1.7% this month, respecting seasonality pattern, which has been reinforced by more dovish market expectations for Fed rate cuts. Markets are now

China: Uncertain economic environment overshadows the party plenum

China’s GDP growth slowed down to 4.7% in Q2. Growth relies much onfixed asset investment in manufacturing and infrastructure while consumerconfidence remains low and the downturn in the housing market continues.