海外研报

2H keeps winning after a positive 1H

SPX is stronger in 2H after a positive 1HThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied 14.48% in the first half (1H) of 2024, which is the 16th best 1H return for all years going back to 1928. When the SPX rallies over the first six months

The W&W Indicator falls to marginally bullish in Jun

Indicator falls to the “marginally bullish” zone in JunThe monthly and weekly average of BofA China A-share Wax & Wane Indicator in Jun

Global equities gained 0.1%; Japan outperformed

Macro data this weekUS: The ISM manufacturing index on Monday, the JOLTS jobopenings report on Tuesday, and the employment report on

2024Q2: Hardware Investment Grows, Barriers to Profitable Use Remain (Kodnani)

AI-related investment growth remains strong, particularly for semiconductorfirms, where equity markets expect revenue growth of around 50% from currentlevels by the end of 2025. Since the release of ChatGPT, equity markets have

When politics trump data

Market HighlightsMarkets seems to be increasingly pricing in the prospects of a Trump Presidency after

June payrolls preview: The job market continues to hum along

Cooling but not coolWe forecast nonfarm payrolls rose by a solid 200k in June, a 72k decline from the 272k

What do your semis neighbors own? June ’24 update

Semis rel. weighting falls again, now below 1.0xWe use BofA Equity Strategy data (see related report here) to examine breadth (what %