海外研报

Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis

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All That Glitters

Gold prices traded at fresh all-time highs on Friday, closing well above the $2600/oz barrier. The rally in gold seems unstoppable at this point and resets on the all-time-high are becoming a

BofA - Gonzalo Asis - Trading Catalysts Uncertainty removed. What’s ahead for equities_20240922

Economics: First cut, now back to data-dependence The Fed cut rates by 50bp last week as it seeks to recalibrate policy to a more neutral

China_s_stimulus_package_ten_reactions

Today’s announcement confirms our view that the Fed cut has opened the door for monetary policy injection. The People’s Bank of China

Investor Sentiment: Risk-Love A binary call

Global Risk-Love resets to neutralGlobal Risk-Love, our contrarian sentiment indicator for equities, has plummeted from

2024Q2: Hardware Investment Grows, Barriers to Profitable Use Remain (Kodnani)

AI-related investment growth remains strong, particularly for semiconductorfirms, where equity markets expect revenue growth of around 50% from currentlevels by the end of 2025. Since the release of ChatGPT, equity markets have

Hong Kong: Retail sales fell further in May

On a month-over-month basis (seasonally adjusted), Hong Kong retail salescontinued to decline in May (-1.6% in value terms, -1.4% in volume terms). Sales

The Long-term StrategistAre annuities a good retirement investment?

We diseussed last month how the move from defined-benefit to defined-contribution pension saving shifted market and longevity risk to workers,who have become quite coneerned they may outlive their savings.But not all is lost as workers can buy lifetime