海外研报

Investor Allocations

Marginal decline in price momentum; fund inflows remain strongAmid a somewhat a dovish tone in the July FOMC meeting, which laid thegroundwork for possible rate cuts in September and beyond, globalequities (FTSE All World) ended the month

Flows & Liquidity Where have we seen most unwinding?

Momentum-driven investors such as CTAs saw a sharp unwind of long equity positions, short yen and short 10y Bund and JGB positions, while

Global Data Watch

Recent discussion in these pages has focused on the shifting risk bias around our global narrative of sustained growth resilience, sticky inflation, and shallow

US Weekly Prospects

Compared to last week’s event-filled calendar, the relatively quiet schedule this week gave time to pause and reflect on the

The Weekly Worldview: The cycles advance

Last week was marked by three key central bank decisions. The BoJ hiked for the first time after ending negative interest rate policy (and specified a plan to reduce

Navigating 2025 AI cloud investment

The Morgan Stanley tech team's median expectation is for NVIDIA-related stocks to grow 37% Y/Y and non-NVIDIA to grow 14%.

On Our Minds-Consumers help lift 2024 growth estimate, but 2025 outlook has weakened

Recent industrial production and retail sales data point to strong consumptionfueled growth in 2Q24, with a carryover effect leading us to upgrade our 3Q24

On Our Minds RBI: Growth optimism behind hawkish stance

The RBI kept the policy rate (at 6.5%) and the policy stance (withdrawal of accommodation) unchanged during its monetary policy meeting in August

Some relief, however the risks still remain

The market began the week with a broad-based risk-off sentiment on Monday, and the continued carry trade unwinding pushed the USD/JPY and USD/CNY

European Contextual Diary The Week Ahead

In this note we preview the coming week's corporate events Below we highlight three key events for next week. Please see this excel for a full list of