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30y JGB auction preview: Market turbulence liable to weigh on sentiment

・ Greater clarity on the BOJ JGB purchase tapering frontThe BOJ's "detailed plan" for tapering back its JGB absorption released on 31 July points
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MORNING BRIEFING INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Asia Trade: APAC stocks (0.8%) continued their recent rebound this moring. in Japan, NKY(1.296) recovered from carly losses and was boosled by Uchida's commenls that BOJ
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Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts

n Revised our Fed policy path expectations to include a string of consecutive 25bpcuts in September, November, and December (vs. quarterly cuts previously) as
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Midday Market Intelligence: seeking

...a levelTuesday’s calm seems to be carrying over on Wednesday, with markets seeming toshed some of the worry seen earlier in the week, while still remaining cautious. A
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No smoking gun

Bottom line• The Q2 labour market data was stronger than our expectation. The unemployment rate rose from 4.3% to 4.6%, below our forecast of
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Preview: RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

Cooler heads• We expect the RBNZ to leave the OCR at 5.50% next week, andto signal a potential cut in the OCR later this year, with the Record
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Weekly FX summary – 5 August 2024

quo on Wednesday. Mexico and India to stand pat on Thursday. China trade data on Wednesday and CPI on Friday.
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All eyes on equities as we head into data doldrums

The Australian dollar is like an itch I can’t stop scratching. In the first few months of this year, it suffered from a steady downward revision in growth forecasts relative to the US, but in recent
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Robust headline growth with underlying weakness

Indonesia’s 2Q24 real GDP growth printed at 5.05% yoy, a tad higher than our expectation of 5.04% and lower than the 5.1% recorded for 1Q24. While a weak deflator
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Macro2Market Views Post the MacroMania

The super-macro week of late July/early August led to a volatile adjustment in pricing and positioning. As the dust settles, we remain vigilant and unconvinced that the coast is clear.
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