海外研报
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Week 3: risks of overinvesting in AI overinvestors
Half-time report: 3% beat, guidance improves for large206 S&P 500 companies (46% of index EPS) have reported, beating consensus EPS by
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Emerging Insight The Great Divides in USD/CNY
Key takeaways• As the focus on USD vs. CNY valuation and trade intensifies, we take a broader look at key macro charts.
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Macro Risk Digest Lingering risks
Top of mind: hedging fiscal worries Fiscal concerns have increased in the US and Europe: we outline the key macro
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Maintaining our S&P 500 target of 5400, rotation is where the action is
Neutral on index, bullish on internalsOur market timing signals have downshifted from bullish to neutral. In mid 2023, sentiment was deeply negative and our toolkit suggested that the direction of economic
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Risk-reward still more favorable for cyclicals
Economics: The economy continues to defy its skepticsLast week, 2Q GDP surprised to the upside, signaling that even if the economy has slowed, it is still meeting its potential. This week, the focus will likely be on the Fed and
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Summertime unwind?
Macro focus: Notwithstanding supportive fundamentals and burgeoning rate cuts across the EM complex, a more open US election is an ongoing source of EM
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Euro Area: German Headline Inflation Beats Expectations
BOTTOM LINE: German headline HICP inflation was 2.60%yoy in July, in line withour tracking forecast and above consensus expectations of 2.5%yoy, up from
海外研报
2024年07月31日
Euro Area: Q2 GDP Above Consensus But Germany Slows Down
BOTTOM LINE: According to Eurostat’s preliminary flash estimate, Euro area realGDP increased 0.3%qoq in Q2 2024, above consensus expectations for a 0.2%qoq
海外研报
2024年07月31日
G10 Consumer Dashboard: July 2024: Subdued Spending Despite Solid Fundamentals (Pierdomenico)
On the positive side, consumers continue to benefit from generally tight labormarkets in all economies. Since we last published the dashboard, the
海外研报
2024年07月31日
The message of a bond market
It is almost comical. Just as Wall Street and mainstream media became convinced that Donald Trump is the next US president, Joe Biden’s withdrawal and the sudden rush to gather around Vice President Kamala Harris
海外研报
2024年07月31日