海外研报

DB CoTD: The greatest rotation...

Yesterday was a fascinating day for US equities. 396 of the S&P 500 were up on the day, the equal weighted index rose +1.17%, and the Russell 2000 small cap index

Deconstructing the recent rally – and what’s next

Greater confidence in rate cuts? Check. Now: EPS in focusFollowing last week’s inflation data, small caps saw the biggest four-day rally since

Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts

Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,

Nomura Quant Insights

Risk of a downside attack on the Nikkei 225 by systematic investorsSemiconductor stocks worldwide took a beating yesterday. It looks as though worries over

Key levels to watch: 4% rates & 50 on PMI

Economics: A goldilocks economyLast week, retail sales and industrial production surprised to the upside, dispelling fears

Overseas market to drive sales and margins

A . BYD, the global leader in the NEV industry,should continue to deliver decent volume sales growth of 20-25% y-o-y in FY24. The huge scaleallows BYD to remain a price setter, especially after it rolled out products at ASP of

1st Positive Surprise of the Year

1. Deliveries beat, but... 2Q deliveries came to 443,956 units vs. MS at 427,303 and cons at 437,812. While this is one of the first and only positive

Tech Diffusion: Navigating AI Oversupply

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the

China: weaker consumption looms over GDP recovery

The weak Q2 GDP (4.7% y/y) suggests the official target of 5% for 2024 is not a done deal. As H2 2023 constituted 53% of the annual GDP in 2023,

Liquid Insight G10 growth convergence and FX

Key takeaways• Q4-to-Q4 consensus GDP forecasts see US growth converging lower to G10. USD has +55% corr to US-World growth diff since 1974.