海外研报

2Q Preview: Screening for Dislocations (SLB), Momentum (AR, CCJ), and Catalysts (WFRD)

Heading into 2Q24 and 2H24, we remain focused on stocking picking versusthematic exposures similar to so far this year, and see three key buckets of

Tracking Trucker Employment; TL Drivers Exit But More May Be Needed

Long haul trucking lost 1,200 drivers in May, below their pre-COVID seasonalsequential increase of ~2,600 drivers (we note that long haul data lags total

Sticky inflation is coming unglued

The June CPI report was very benign. The headline figure fell 0.06% (expected up0.1%) and the core figure was up only 0.06% (expected up 0.2%). Within the corecomponent,the long-awaited slowing in both tenants’and owners’ equivalentrental inflation took

European Equity Strategy

It's time for stock picking again: Europe's stock level dispersion and equities market breadth are just starting to recover from lows ( Exhibit 2 and Exhibit 6 ) amid recent investor focus on elections,

IAM-751 Strike Sanction Vote Next Week

Boeing’s International Association of Machinists & Aerospace Workers (IAM) District 751will be holding their “Strike Sanction Vote” next week on July 17th. The IAM 751

The Fed’s increased room for manoeuvre

On the face of it, Friday’s US payroll data was not that dramatic. But it led to a moderate pickup in Federal Reserve easing expectations which were further increased by today’s lower-than-expected CPI inflation data.

Gauging Powell’s Confidence

Four central banks will deliver decisions in the wake of Powell’s comments, but none of the ECB, PBOC, BI or

Weekly IMM FX Positioning

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication may not be considered investment research or an

Attempted assassination of presidential candidate Donald Trump

On Saturday evening, former President Donald Trump was wounded in anassassination attempt during a campaign rally. A bystander was killed, andtwo others were critically wounded. The assailant was shot dead by securityservices.

Breaking up

EUA prices are stuck at €65–75/t and are unlikely to shift far out of that range in the coming week. The call option open interest (OI) stack still to be more highly hedged