海外研报

US Macro Weekly--Jobs report in the spotlight

Week ahead A busy week will be highlighted by the June employment report, releasedfollowing a mid-week break for the July 4th holiday. Also on deck areboth ISMs, JOLTS job openings, and the minutes from the June FOMC,

2H keeps winning after a positive 1H

SPX is stronger in 2H after a positive 1HThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied 14.48% in the first half (1H) of 2024, which is the 16th best 1H return for all years going back to 1928. When the SPX rallies over the first six months

DMP: En Route to August

The june iteration of the Decision Maker Panel survey supports our call for anAugust cut. Wage expectations and perceived pricing power are softening, andrealised inflation took a decent step lower in

Chile: Copper Exports and Weak Imports Supported the Trade Balance in June (Armella)

Bottom Line: The trade balance recorded a US$1,990mn surplus in June, strongerthan the US$1.60bn surplus in May and firmer than the US$1.44bn surplus a year

GEN AI: TOO MUCH SPEND, TOO LITTLE BENEFIT?

Tech giants and beyond are set to spend over $1tn on AI capex in coming years, with so far little to show for it. So, will this large spend ever pay off? MIT’s Daron

Thailand – Headwinds to potential growth

Economic data was mixed in the region this week. In China, weaker-than-expected inflation prints in June underscored the still-weak demand momentum. Meanwhile, in

June JSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds

CLEAR SIGNS OF BEARISHNESS ON SUPER-LONG JGBSJSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds data for June were indicative of most

Global equities gained 0.1%; Japan outperformed

Macro data this weekUS: The ISM manufacturing index on Monday, the JOLTS jobopenings report on Tuesday, and the employment report on