海外研报
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Global Data Watch: Asia China: Two policy meetings in July
The swing of cyclical policy reactions aftects business cycle fluctuations. A shiftto an accommodative policy stance in 2l23 led to activity recovery in 2H23 and1024, but the fading
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Assessing France’s Indecisive Election
Everything must change, so that everything can stay the same. Anatole used this aphorism from the great novel of Italian reunification, The Leopard, to
海外研报
2024年07月09日
Another month of soft retail spending
Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit cards, was down 0.5% year-over-year (y/y) in June. Card spending per HH was
海外研报
2024年07月12日
The economic consequences of a second Trump presidency for emerging markets
Macro focus: With market-implied probabilities of a second Trump term rising, we take a first look at the potential reverberations for EMs. We view tariff policy as
海外研报
2024年07月18日
Where are the conveXintlection/pain points in global markets?
Option delta hedging: a price movement amplifierDerivative trading can (significantly) impact asset prices via feedback effects of deltahedging strategies followed by option
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Quarterly FX revisions
We have undertaken our quarterly FX revisions using the Bloomberg forwardcurve for the new quarter. Forecasts for F Y24 were left largely unchanged, exceptfor CSL where we
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Atradius 经济展望 软着陆
预计 2024 年全球增长率为 2.6% , 与 12 月经济展望相比上调 0.5% 。由于更强劲的需求前景和更高的移民 , 美国经济的韧性突出。 2025 年增长可能会略有改善 , 达到 2.8% , 随着通胀持续下降 , 购买力也会有所改善。
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Embracing Demographic Transition
Citi is one of the world’s largest financial institutions, operating in all major established and emerging markets. Across these world markets, our employees conduct an ongoing multi-disciplinary
海外研报
2024年07月18日
FSA Fixed Income Daily Commentary
US Treasury: US Treasuries rallied last Friday, despite higherthan-expected US wholesale inflation. The yield on the policydriven 2yr notes fell 6.3bps to 4.452%, its lowest level since
海外研报
2024年07月17日
Global Economic Weekly Bridging the gaps
Global Letter: Bridging the gapsWith markets now pricing more than two Fed cuts this year, and while acknowledging
海外研报
2024年07月20日