海外研报

Where are the conveXintlection/pain points in global markets?

Option delta hedging: a price movement amplifierDerivative trading can (significantly) impact asset prices via feedback effects of deltahedging strategies followed by option

Quarterly FX revisions

We have undertaken our quarterly FX revisions using the Bloomberg forwardcurve for the new quarter. Forecasts for F Y24 were left largely unchanged, exceptfor CSL where we

Atradius 经济展望 软着陆

预计 2024 年全球增长率为 2.6% , 与 12 月经济展望相比上调 0.5% 。由于更强劲的需求前景和更高的移民 , 美国经济的韧性突出。 2025 年增长可能会略有改善 , 达到 2.8% , 随着通胀持续下降 , 购买力也会有所改善。

Embracing Demographic Transition

Citi is one of the world’s largest financial institutions, operating in all major established and emerging markets. Across these world markets, our employees conduct an ongoing multi-disciplinary

FSA Fixed Income Daily Commentary

US Treasury: US Treasuries rallied last Friday, despite higherthan-expected US wholesale inflation. The yield on the policydriven 2yr notes fell 6.3bps to 4.452%, its lowest level since

Global Economic Weekly Bridging the gaps

Global Letter: Bridging the gapsWith markets now pricing more than two Fed cuts this year, and while acknowledging

US Macro Weekly--Jobs report in the spotlight

Week ahead A busy week will be highlighted by the June employment report, releasedfollowing a mid-week break for the July 4th holiday. Also on deck areboth ISMs, JOLTS job openings, and the minutes from the June FOMC,

2H keeps winning after a positive 1H

SPX is stronger in 2H after a positive 1HThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied 14.48% in the first half (1H) of 2024, which is the 16th best 1H return for all years going back to 1928. When the SPX rallies over the first six months

DMP: En Route to August

The june iteration of the Decision Maker Panel survey supports our call for anAugust cut. Wage expectations and perceived pricing power are softening, andrealised inflation took a decent step lower in