海外研报

GD--ARE BONDS DONE ALREADY?

We stand by our bond bear call on a secular basis, but the buffer between the US economy and recession has worn thin, making now a risky time to start thinking about the secular term. Yellen’s

GD--TRUMP-HARRIS DEBATE HAS A 'WINNER' - WHAT NEXT?

Betting markets have, by and large, declared Vice President Kamala Harris the victor of the first combativeTrump-Harris presidential debate (Polymarket, +6pp / PredictIt +8¢ to Harris) – but how much will this matter? 

MS_Signals, Flows & Key Data_

A weekly summary of key cross-asset monitors, data, moves and models tracking sentiment, fund flows and positioning.

BofA_BofA on USA Summer doldrums

Earlier Labor Day = more spending in AugustTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and

Searching for the floor

Global commodities: The ructions in commodities continues. The broad commonality in the bearishness points by-and-large to China, and its malaise is

electionwatch-12-september-2024-v7

With fewer than eight weeks remaining until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are locked in a very close race to the finish. They are laboring

Intraday FX View FX & Precious Metals Trading | 12 September 202

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication cannot be considered as investment research or a research

Precious Metals Trading Desk View

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication cannot be considered as investment research or a

Start Small or Begin Big?

attempted to look past recession fears, while the European Central Bank cut rates by25bps in its September meeting. The ECB in particular left its policy guidance for rate

BofA--Global FX Weekly Powell s victory lap- Draghi s frustration_20240913

G10. US soft landing and Fed still main market drivers. Draghi shows the way in Europe. EM. More conservative Fed pricing to weight on EM FX.