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US Treasury futures: calendar rolls outlook, September-December 2024
RecommendationsTU – Mildly bearish. Positioning is bearish due to record-high asset manager net positioning in the sector. TU roll will likely be sensitive to risk events and front-end moves, including a
海外研报
2024年08月24日
The ECB's throuple... or trouble?
The accounts of the July ECB meeting noted that September “was widely seen as a good time to re-evaluate” the level of monetary policy restriction. But caution remains the key word. In fact,
海外研报
2024年08月24日
USD: a Powell outage
Investors continue to recalibrate the amount of rate cuts they expect from the Fed this year. Slower growth in US initial jobless claims and mixed US PMI data as well
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2024年08月24日
Further advancement in South Asia and stronger FX contributed to a 1% gain in MXAPJ
MXAPJ gained 1%, led by Thailand and Philippines (+3%),while Taiwan, Korea and China-A (-1%) underperformed.
海外研报
2024年08月26日
Europe Weekly Kickstart Summer data-only update
Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures,
海外研报
2024年08月26日
Navigating a Noisy Election
Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &
海外研报
2024年08月26日
The White House and the Dollar
Policies proposed by the Republican presidential campaign would likely boost USD. A potential Republican administration
海外研报
2024年08月26日
Time to Enter UST Steepeners
After having adopted a neutral stance on the US yield curve for much of the past year, we believe now is the time to enter US
海外研报
2024年08月26日
What's Priced In? Boom or Bust?
We analyze where cross-asset valuations are after the sell-off and rebound. While a shallow cutting cycle supports risk, we
海外研报
2024年08月26日
Asia-Pacific Inflation Monitor: Uptick in July
This publication summarizes regional and economy-specific inflation data across nthe Asia-Pacific economies we cover. The latest data points are for July 2024 in
海外研报
2024年08月27日
