海外研报

3 themes from 2Q 2024 conference calls: The labor market, the consumer, and AI

Our quarterly S&P 500 Beige Book reviews conference call transcripts to gain aqualitative perspective on key issues facing company managements. This

Equity Strategy Market Review

Barclays Capital Inc. and/or one of its affiliates does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be

Theme in Charts: Bearish Gas is Bearish Oil

Our commodities team believes global gas prices will need to substantially pricebelow lignite economics as a wave of new LNG projects hits the market in a

Trend follower bond longs getting stretched, equity closer to neutral for now

CTAs likely not participating in equity rally (yet)The S&P 500 broke a four-week losing streak by posting its best weekly return since

US Economics Weekly in the datavei

CITI'S TAKEStronger-than-expected retail sales and the drop in initial jobless claimsraised market optimism that a "soft landing" might still be achieved, but thecontinued contraction in manufacturing, falling

Global FX Trader Rates Exaggerate

Our thoughts on USD, CHF, BRL, IDR, AUD/NZD, THB & Jackson Holen USD: Markets or macro. Investors have been asking whether the wild swings

Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Derivative Thinking

All attention this week will be on Jackson Hole, where the conference has been aptly titled “Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy.” We

A truer signal from the unemployment rate

Historically, a substantial rise in the unemployment rate has been associated with a recession. But changes in the unemployment rate can be amplified or damped by