海外研报

U.S. Desk Strategy Macro2Markets Outlook

As the dust settles post one of the most active macro weeks of the summer, the broader market is at the mercy of lower summer liquidity amid ongoing

De-grossing, Positioning Declines, and Rotations...Meaningful in July, But Could be Nearly Over

HF performance / alpha drawdown and de-grossing…are we done yet? July was the first month for negative Eq L/S alpha this year and de-grossing reached fairly extended levels for Eq L/S and Multi-Strats in

Hong Kong: PMI rose in July

The S&P Global Hong Kong PMI (which covers the manufacturing, construction,wholesale, retail and services sectors) rose to 49.5 in July from 48.2 in June. Among

Americas Small Cap Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

MARKETS CAN TAKE WEEKS TO REBOUND FROM A VOLATILITY SPIKE

Friday’s weak NFP print put recession risks front and centre. However, one disappointing payrolls release is notenough to declare one: (1) 114k new jobs are consistent with economic expansion; (2) cyclical sectors are still

RECESSION APPEARS INEVITABLE BY YEAR- END, UNLESS THE FED CUTS (THEY WILL)

The search is on for indications that the economy is heading towards recession if the Fed fails to act sooner than later – not for indicators of recession itself. The softening data that are rolling

Will the great unwind continue?

Market HighlightsMonday 5 August was a monumental day for markets. The Nikkei fell 12% which was the largest 1 day decline since 1987, the S&P500 fell 3% to end the day with the largest intra-day

Japan: Contextualizing the NKY’s second largest 1-day decline on record

KEY MESSAGES▪ The Nikkei 225’s second largest one-day decline on record (-12.4%) on Monday underscores the large portfolio liquidation pressure