海外研报

Shifting neutral into the summer but we remain mildly pro-risk for 12m

Global growth slowed in Q2 but risky assets performed well, helped byexpectations for central bank easing and mega cap tech optimism. Our macro

First Take: AT&T...

Overall a good print. Folks might nitpick the lack of a guidance raise, and longer-term there remain concerns aboutiPhone refresh cycle (and impact on FCF and EBITDA); but both were nicely ahead for now.

FX7 Charts What does Fed easing mean for the dollar?

The dollar’s reaction to Fed easing cycles has varied enormously in the past 40 years. In 1985, the dollar fell a long way, but not until four months after the first rate cut. In 1989, it started falling

Americas Small Cap Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

Weekly Warm-up: Does The Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome?

Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016-2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on the

Still See a Soft Landing

We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought more evidence

July FOMC: one last hold?

The Fed is poised to stand on the sidelines for one more meeting at the July FOMC, as we expect the target range for the Federal funds rate to remain unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. This would mark a full year, or eight

FOMC preview

The June FOMC meeting statement described activity as expanding at a “solidpace," job gains “'strong," and unemployment “low." We don't see any of thatchanging. Since the June meeting the unemployment rate has risen another tick to4.1%, in line

Key week ahead of FX markets

FX View: The low in USD/JPY yesterday brought the drop from the high on 3rd July to ten big figures and in our view could well be a sign of a turning point in USD/JPY.

Fed set to hold again in July, but inching closer to cuts

A huge week lies ahead, with the July FOMC meeting on Wednesday followed in quick succession by the July employment report on Friday.