海外研报

Regional Market Focus ETF in Focus

The ageing global population and rising life expectancy are driving an increase in healthcare spending. Healthcare accounts for over 10% weightage in major global indices

GS Equity Radar

European markets traded some relief post the second round of French elections (seeAlex Stott’s post-election Q&A), with V2X c.8% lower vs. last Friday (at time ofwriting). In the US

European Contextual Diary The Week Ahead

Danske Bank (Buy, PT DKr244) to report Q2 2024 Results on 19 JulFollowing the recent positive profit warn by Danske, we expect a small reversal in credit

Global equities lost 2.1%; Momentum sold-off

Implications of trade policy for global marketsPrediction markets are now assigning a high probability

US Weekly Kickstart

Prediction market odds have shifted sharply in favor of a Trump re-election this November and now stand at roughly 60% compared with 40%-50%

Breaking the Rules

It’s a general rule that you should avoid saying “This time is different.” So far, though, I have broken that rule in this cycle, because so much of what we are seeing

DB CoTD: The 2% club has increased

** The 2024 II Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be able to vote. I have a pdf

TOP OF THE AGENDA

SPX +1.1%, NDX +1.5%,RTY +1.7%.WTl-31bps at $78.40, NatGas +578bps to $2.25, UKNatGas -155bps to£0.7797,Gold -18bps to $2,397,Silver -34bps to $29.13, 10Y @ 4.253%, andVIX @ 14.91.

What’s Top of Mind in Macro Research: Trump’s rising presidential odds, Fed cuts may soon begin,

US election: Trump’s rising oddsThe likelihood of a Trump presidency has risen further in betting markets sinceSaturday’s shocking assassination attempt, and we maintain that such an election

China: Not Quite the QE You Expect

The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has been trying to cap a record-breaking rally in the bond market. Unfavourable rate differentials add to yuan