海外研报
筛选
Change in Fed call: Three 25bp cuts this year
With this morning's weaker-than-expected labor market report,we now expect the FOMC to cut rates by 25bp three times this
海外研报
2024年08月05日
Quicker labour market cooling could mean more aggressive Fed
A much quieter calendar lies ahead for the coming week, highlighted by ISM services and the Fed’s senior loan officer opinion survey (SLOOS).
海外研报
2024年08月05日
Rate Cuts and Recession Risk After the July Employment Report
The July employment report was weak across the board, with soft gains in bothpayroll and household employment and another 0.2pp increase in the
海外研报
2024年08月05日
Obvious trend damage but breadth improves
• Background macro factors like disposable personal income growth
海外研报
2024年08月06日
Weekly Warm-up: Defensive Leadership Fully Emerges as Growth Concerns Increase
Macro Risks Rise... While the macro data suggest the consumer is slowing but ok, the jobs data on Friday challenged the soft-landing view for some
海外研报
2024年08月06日
Trading Catalysts It’s the Fed now
Equities: Is the Fed put alive? The July jobs report came in below our goldilocks range for equities (+150K, +/- and financial markets indicate that the risk is no longer balanced between growth and
海外研报
2024年08月06日
CARRY TRADE HARD LANDING?
Japan’s balance sheet is hugely distorted by the years of excess accommodation. It was always a toss-up as to which fragility was going to break first – maturity or currency mismatch. In the end,
海外研报
2024年08月06日
BOJ, FED, FUEL SURGE IN EM FX VOLATILITY
Fed and BoJ meetings have further raised EM FX volatility. Last week’s FOMC meeting was widely interpreted as confirming the market expectation that the funds rate will be cut in
海外研报
2024年08月06日
Asia-Pacific Growth Monitor: EM Asia growth holding up, but factory surveys slow
This publication summarizes regional and country-specific growth data acrossthe Asia-Pacific economies we cover. In most cases, the latest data points are
海外研报
2024年08月07日
