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Global Economics Wrap-Up: July 19, 2024
The case for Fed rate cuts strengthens as elections loom: o US economic data softened further in June: § Trimmed-mean PCE inflation has returned to 2% on a 3-month
海外研报
2024年07月20日
US Weekly Kickstart
Small-caps just posted the most powerful weekly return vs. large-caps on record. Against a backdrop of extreme equity market concentration, four
海外研报
2024年07月22日
Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary
United States: A String of Upside Surprises, but Growth is Slowing in the U.S.• Retail sales, housing starts and industrial production all surprised to the upside this week. Yet, an
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2024年07月22日
Machine Learning Based Trade Recommendations
The CARV model continues the short vol bias in Fixed Income and Credit,while shifting to a long vol bias for most Commodities, led by WTl andprecious metals. In Equities, NlFTY had
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2024年07月05日
Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Labour at Dawn
The incoming Labour government will inherit a UK economy that, by many measures, has underperformed sharply. Since 2010, the UK has grown ~10% less
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2024年07月08日
The US consumer-should we be worried?
Consumer is moderating, not pulling back, The US consumer is and has been theengine behind economic growth. As rates stay higher for longer, the strength of theUS consumer is coming into
海外研报
2024年07月11日
Europe Non Research Other
All about the US inflation print this alernoon and i willtake my lead from there. The market feels as though it wanls to embrace alower USD and if the print is sot (rounding will also be important today)
海外研报
2024年07月12日
Equity Strategy
While the S&P500 was powered again this year by Mag-7, the cqual weightedindex -SPW, is up a more modest 6%, having peaked in March., Likewise,SXSE has also peaked in March - top chart. Indeed, the historical spreadbetween the performance ofS&P500
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2024年07月16日
Land of the rising equities and bond yields — a look at cross-asset moves in Japan
Last week a softer-than-expected CPI print pushed forwardrate cut expectations and prompted one of the largest
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2024年07月17日
Consumption and income growth slowed; consumer confidence deteriorated
n Spending: Chinese household consumption growth measured in year-over-yearterms slowed notably to 5.0% yoy in Q2 2024 from 8.3% yoy in Q1. On a
海外研报
2024年07月18日