海外研报

European and US Credit:Weekly ChartpackAn overview of credit markets

Credit spreads widened notably towards the end of last week in the wake of weaker thanexpected US labour market numbers, a theme that we previously highlighted in our H2outlook (H2 outlook- borowed time, 4 June 2024). Our base case

GEMs Equity Wrap-up July 2024

In July 2024, EM equities underperformed all other major regional indices, though allwere in positive territory, india contributed most positively, distantly followed by SouthAfrica, but it was majory offset by the negative performance of Taiwan

Global bond flows compass

Weekly foreign outflows from local debt in Mexico, HungaryT¼rkiye, and South Africa; inflows into Korea, India, Thailan?and

Investor Allocations

Marginal decline in price momentum; fund inflows remain strongAmid a somewhat a dovish tone in the July FOMC meeting, which laid thegroundwork for possible rate cuts in September and beyond, globalequities (FTSE All World) ended the month

Flows & Liquidity Where have we seen most unwinding?

Momentum-driven investors such as CTAs saw a sharp unwind of long equity positions, short yen and short 10y Bund and JGB positions, while

Global Data Watch

Recent discussion in these pages has focused on the shifting risk bias around our global narrative of sustained growth resilience, sticky inflation, and shallow

US Weekly Prospects

Compared to last week’s event-filled calendar, the relatively quiet schedule this week gave time to pause and reflect on the

The Weekly Worldview: The cycles advance

Last week was marked by three key central bank decisions. The BoJ hiked for the first time after ending negative interest rate policy (and specified a plan to reduce

Navigating 2025 AI cloud investment

The Morgan Stanley tech team's median expectation is for NVIDIA-related stocks to grow 37% Y/Y and non-NVIDIA to grow 14%.

On Our Minds-Consumers help lift 2024 growth estimate, but 2025 outlook has weakened

Recent industrial production and retail sales data point to strong consumptionfueled growth in 2Q24, with a carryover effect leading us to upgrade our 3Q24