海外研报

Summer Break

n GBP: Stay long vs USD. The tactical backdrop looks increasingly friendly for riskand negative for the Dollar with further signs of a benign slowdown in US

Narrow breadth could persist

Narrow market breadth continuing to impact portfoliosGlobally, a few large stocks are driving equity market returns, which makes it difficult for

Big sales of Financials stocks as earnings season kicks off

Single stock-driven outflows: Last week, during which the S&P 500 was +0.9%, BofA Securities clients were net sellers of US equities (-$3.3B) after the previous

Global Fixed Income Views

A 70% probability of Sub Trend Growth, and a soft landing, remain our base case. While smaller businesses and lower income households struggle with

Global FX Weekly The weak USD policy

G10. Fed still main USD driver. US election USD impact far from straightforward. Focus on FX tactical opportunities for now.

Shifting narrative and market implications

We hosted the fifh installment ofthe Strategic Research 2024 US Election Watchseries on July 17, featuring IP, Morgan researchers who discussed the keytakeaways, firom meetings duringour recent trip to Washington, D,C, The meetingsin

BCA_Did China Just Launch A Bazooka_20240926

. The odds are that the adrenaline from the recent poliey stimulus will besufhcient to produce a

UBS--Japanese equities

We are Neutral on Japanese equities in our global strategy.