海外研报

Americas Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

Weekly Theme: Jun oil & gas demand; refined products exports stable MoM

China oil demand down in 1H24 while gas improvedAccording to NBS and China Customs data, in Jun'24, China crude oil apparent demand was 15.7mbd/64mnt, -7% YoY/+2% MoM with the monthly throughput hitting the yearly

Europe Weekly Kickstart The Impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty on Capex Beneficiaries

The US presidential election is re-shaping the Europeanequity market. While markets have just started to fade

Microsoft Outage More a CrowdStrike Issue

This morning, MSFT is experiencing a large outage stemmingfrom a faulty software update from CRWD. While theimplications

US Equity Strategy Productivity: A Key Component to Earnings Resiliency

CITI'S TAKEThere are many forces at work in the US equity markets as we head into thebulk of the Q2 earnings season. Discerning macro from micro influenceswould seem to be a defining discussion point for the summer. All told, ourusual “sanity check"

Endorses Vice President Harris; Democrats’ Odds of Winning the White House Edge Up Slightly

BOTTOM LINE: President Joe Biden exited the 2024 presidential race today (July21) and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris. Harris’ prediction market-implied

Supply and Cash Flow Monitors

 EUR22.5bn gross supply and EUR0.9bn net supply on the back of bigBTP redemptions and Bunds coupons. On offer new 10Y Bund, Green Bunds tap, LT OAT, SPGB (new 7Y) /

June US CPI Inflation preview: Further progress

CPI to increase Fed’s confidence on disinflationWe expect the June CPI report to be another confidence builder following the undeniably good May report. We forecast headline CPI rose by 0.1% m/m (0.11% unrounded) owing

Thoughts ahead of June quarter-end earnings

Hockey sticks get iced; volume recovery less robustMost companies across our consumer staples coverage universe began the year expecting volumes to improve while pricing fades as a building block to organic sales