海外研报

If the plan is to sell dollar rallies, it isn’t working

Jay Powell’s focus on labour market data as the biggest driver of rate-hike timing leaves days like today (no jobs numbers, only consumer confidence, house prices and regional fed activity

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST, 10y UST, 10y Bund, Canada 10y, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, EUR/HUF, USD/BRL, Brent

GS Supply Chain Congestion Scale

Our weekly bottleneck scaleremained unchanged at ‘2’ this week,but the absolute level of our

USA: Core Durable Goods Orders Roughly in Line With Expectations

BOTTOM LINE: Durable goods orders increased 9.9% in July, above expectationsand reflecting a large increase in new aircraft orders. Core capital goods orders

LONG CARRY, SHORT TREND

Powell's Jackson Hole speech gave a strong indication that inflation is no longer the tail risk for the Fed and that it is the health of the labour market that is now paramount. While the dual