海外研报

The Global Point Wednesday, 21 August 2024

Geopolitical and economic risks are back in focus. We update our proprietary Geoeconomic Risk Premium model, which measures how much of a “geo-economic”

FOMC – Very dovish minutes open door to 50bps cuts

ImplicationsThe minutes suggest that Powell will take a very dovish tone at the Jackson Hole meeting. There are many dovish references to “almost all” or the “vast majority” of participants. If

Positioning across emerging markets following the recent market volatility

Macro focus: The deterioration in market sentiment over the past few weeks caused an aggressive sell-off in risk assets following a recalibration of growth

The VIEW Asia's Bond Markets

This month's Overview is a primer on Panda bonds, RMB-denominated bonds issued byoffshore entities in China's domestic market. Gross issuance rose 82% in 2023 to a recordRMB154bn, and 2024 is on course to be another big year, We explore

Indonesia: BI to Focus on IDR Strength in Q3, Sees Room to Cut in Q4

Bank Indonesia (BI) kept its policy rate unchanged at 6.25%. The deposit and lendingfacility rates were also kept at 5.50% and 7.00%, respectively. Today’s decision was

July FOMC minutes highlightedlabor market risks

The minutes to the July 30-31 FOMC meeting (which occurred just before therelease ofthe weak Julylaborreport)skewed dovish and showeda committee morefocused on labor market risks than the possibility of a renewed jump in inflationeven if

Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts

Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,

On the border, Nietzsche--Global Daily

Market comments“Cruisin' down the center of a two-way street; Wonderin' who is really in the driver's seat

Summer revision courses: Monetary Framework

Like every summer, we are publishing a series of short papers on the ECB’s tools to help you revise during the summer so you can be