海外研报

No smoking gun

Bottom line• The Q2 labour market data was stronger than our expectation. The unemployment rate rose from 4.3% to 4.6%, below our forecast of

Preview: RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

Cooler heads• We expect the RBNZ to leave the OCR at 5.50% next week, andto signal a potential cut in the OCR later this year, with the Record

Weekly FX summary – 5 August 2024

quo on Wednesday. Mexico and India to stand pat on Thursday. China trade data on Wednesday and CPI on Friday.

All eyes on equities as we head into data doldrums

The Australian dollar is like an itch I can’t stop scratching. In the first few months of this year, it suffered from a steady downward revision in growth forecasts relative to the US, but in recent

Robust headline growth with underlying weakness

Indonesia’s 2Q24 real GDP growth printed at 5.05% yoy, a tad higher than our expectation of 5.04% and lower than the 5.1% recorded for 1Q24. While a weak deflator

Macro2Market Views Post the MacroMania

The super-macro week of late July/early August led to a volatile adjustment in pricing and positioning. As the dust settles, we remain vigilant and unconvinced that the coast is clear.

USD: a ‘flatter’ smile is still a smile

Asia overnightInvestor sentiment continues to improve as equity markets recover from their recent drubbing. BoJ Deputy Governor, Shinichi Uchida, helped reassure markets

Earnings-day volatility at 14-year highs

We analyzed the earnings day moves of the 362 S&P 500 stocks that havereported so far this earnings season and compared them with the past 18