海外研报
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The US Fiscal OutlookIs Unsightly,But A Debt Crisis Is Not Inevitable
Executive SummaryInvestors have observed that pandemic spending materially worsened the USfiscal outlook and are asking our US strategists about it in nearly every meeting
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Global Macro Insight
Data releases over the past month have underscored our expectation that the FOMC will start to reduce policy restriction from September (-25bp).
海外研报
2024年08月22日
Global Credit Trader There and back again
While spreads have nearly completed their round-trip back to pre-selloff levels,implied volatility on macro indices remains elevated.
海外研报
2024年08月24日
BoJ downplaying structural deflationary pressures of excess corporate savings
The BoJ is constructing its inflation forecasts mainly on upward pressure on wages from labour shortages due to the aging of the
海外研报
2024年08月26日
Global FX Trader Counting Down to Cuts
USD: Cut but don’t run. The time for cuts has come, and FX markets clearlysee that as a time to short the Dollar. It is understandable because the Dollar
海外研报
2024年08月26日
Gauging downside risks to USDCNY from potential
Investors have been increasingly concerned about further CNY appreciation againstUSD, especially for potential USD selling by Chinese exporters. Specifically,
海外研报
2024年08月31日
Cycle Playbook – Preparing for a Peak
Amid the excitement around AI, we must not lose sight of the cyclical nature of semiconductors and tech hardware. As we approach a cycle peak, we share our insights on navigating the transition.
海外研报
2024年09月02日
