海外研报

TOP OF THE AGENDA

.US: Futs are weaker with Tech dragging down SPX/NDX as both Semis and Mag7 are beingsold pre-mkt with ASML -6% onnegative geopolitical headlines; TSM reports tmrw. Pre-mktAAPL, NVDA, TSLA, AMD, MU, AVGO, MSFT, AMAT all down 1.4%

USA: GS Economic Indicators Update

Please find an update of our proprietary economic indicators below. The data behindthese exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found on our livingpage here.

Curb Your Enthusiasm

At $6.56 trillion, assets under management (AUM) in US money market funds(MMFs) hit another record high last week. Inflows to MMFs have continued even asmarket pricing of policy easing has moved higher -today, the market-

US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate

Key TakeawaysChinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports ~75%

Global Macro Commentary

Fed Chair Powell says recent inflation data add confidence; USTs bear-steepen; BoC surveys show inflation expectations

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities closed lower (SXXP -0.3%, $X5E -0.7%) with CAC (-1.2%)underperforming also today, Luxury (-1.4%), China Exposed Consumer (-1.4%) and BasicResources (-1.7%) reflected concerns around China. ECB Bank Lending

Asia Open - Mind the unwind, from USDJPY to US stocks

Consensus trades took a hit Wednesday, as seen by the sell-off in USDJPY (-1.3%) and Nasdaq (-2.5%). A combination of

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index dropped 0.4% today. Indonesia and Philippines marketsoutperformed, while Taiwan and Korea markets underperformed. Within MXAPJsectors, Cons Stap and Energy led while Info Tech and Industrials lagged. MSCI

The rotation has yet to reach CCCs

Cuts are unlikely to flatten IG curvesn USD IG spread curves have remained remarkably stable this year.n A transitory downstream flow effect of Fed cuts on front-end spreads is possible

Macro Credit Views: Trust in carry (Karoui)

Carry remains our baseline view. Valuation constraints continue to loom large inmost segments of credit markets, greatly limiting the scope for upside convexity